|
WR
Derek Hagan |
|
|
Coach:
Dirk Koetter
26-23,
4 years |
2004
Record: 9-3 |
|
UTEP |
WON
41-9 |
at
Northwestern |
WON
30-21 |
IOWA |
WON
44-7 |
OREGON
STATE |
WON
27-14 |
at
Oregon |
WON
28-13 |
at
Southern California |
LOST
7-45 |
UCLA |
WON
48-42 |
at
California |
LOST
0-27 |
STANFORD |
WON
34-31 |
WASHINGTON
STATE |
WON
45-28 |
at
Arizona |
LOST
27-34 |
SUN
BOWL |
vs.
Purdue |
WON
27-23 |
|
2004 Final Rankings
AP-19, Coaches-20, BCS-19
|
2005
Outlook |
Few
teams can match the range of preseason
predictions that swirl around Tempe.
The Sun Devils are predicted to achieve
everything from a top 15 ranking to
a sixth or seventh finish in the Pac-10,
mostly due to legitimate questions
at QB, RB and depth on defense. Dirk
Koetter deserves more respect (and
job security) after a special season
that saw ASU win tough non-conference
games (Iowa, Purdue) and display uncanny
poise in close ones. Much of that
was thanks to Andrew Walter, but Sam
Keller's Sun Bowl can be a solid confirmation
of his future success. With a full
spring of reps, he'll be ready to
step into a starting role where he
can benefit from a tremendous line
and two of the best targets in college
football. The size of the line and
battle memories alone should improve
respectability on the ground, as will
a controversy-free backfield. When
tougher in the red zone, they won't
need gaudy yardage numbers to put
up 30ppg.
The
red zone is likewise, a key concern
for the defense. Near the goal-line,
they need to be more physical. Only
two TDs shy of most allowed in the
Pac-10, it's tough to imagine numbers
that bad again when Oliver and Fawley
begin to again resemble their former
selves. If they don't, or if there
are injuries along the line, the overall
unit is too fragile to hold up. With
a little work, though, the defense
will look more like the aggressive
one that tormented Iowa before being
exposed by USC and Cal. They'll generate
more (and give up less) "big
plays", and considering everyone
returns on special teams, the Sun
Devils are much more complete and
experienced than they are being given
credit for.
Wins
over LSU or USC would be shocking,
but no other game on the schedule
looms as particularly challenging,
especially after capping an undefeated
season in Sun Devil Stadium. Those
early tests will be the level of competition
needed to kick-start all of the above-listed
(needed) changes. Then, foes that
follow will be easy marks for a tuned
up set of Sun Devils. Odds are the
'05 squad falls on the wrong side
of close games more often than not.
But eight wins, a solid bowl, and
a continued revitalization of the
program are to be seen, and shouldn't
be discounted when you see what this
all means by 2006.
Projected
2005 record: 8-3
|
|
ARIZONA
STATE
*POWER RATINGS |
Offense |
Defense |
QB
- 4 |
DL
- 3 |
RB
- 2.5 |
LB
- 3.5 |
WR
- 4.5 |
DB
- 3.5 |
OL
- 4 |
.. |
|
RETURNING
LEADERS |
Passing:
Sam Keller, 71-42-1, 606 yds., 5 TD
Rushing: Hakim Hill, 122 att.,
566 yds., 5 TD
Receiving: Derek Hagan, 83
rec., 1248 yds., 10 TD
Scoring: Jesse Ainsworth, 18-28
FG, 40-40 PAT, 94 pts.
Punting: Chris McDonald, 64
punts, 43.1 avg.
Kicking: Chris McDonald, 64
punts, 43.1 avg.
Tackles: Dale Robinson, 93
tot., 50 solo
Sacks: Jordan Hill, Kyle Caldwell,
7 each
Interceptions: Jamar Williams,
3 for 69 yds.
Kickoff Returns: Rudy Burgess,
15 ret., 22.5 avg., 0 TD
Punt Returns: Rudy Burgess, 31
ret., 7.5 avg., 0 TD
|
|
|
LB
Jamar Williams |
|
|
|
ARIZONA
STATE
|
|
|
OFFENSE
- 9 |
----RETURNING
STARTERS---- |
DEFENSE
- 6 |
|
KEY
LOSSES |
OFFENSE:
Andrew Walter-QB, Drew Hodgdon-C, Hakim
Hill-TB (dismissed), Loren Wade-TB (dismissed) |
DEFENSE:
Jimmy
Verson-DT, Ishmael Thrower-DE, Justin
Burks-MLB, Chris McKenzie-CB, Riccardo
Stewart-S |
|
|
2005
OFFENSE |
Quarterback
This year's transition at QB was eased for
Sam Keller after record-setter Andrew Walter
was injured. The junior then made his first
start in the Sun Bowl and threw for 370yds
and three TDs (MVP honors after come-from-behind
victory). The drop-back protégé
has arrived. He might not have the arm strength
of Walter; yet, his gutsy play was reminiscent
of another Sun Devil, Jake Plummer. Keller
has the smarts and prototypical QB size
(6'4, 228) to accompany his uncanny poise.
The question is, can he maintain his high
TD:INT-ratio (5:1) in the limelight? Every
indication is that he's for real, having
mastered Coach Koetter's wide-open offense
under the sage tutelage of Walter. His ability
to check-off and read blitzes makes him
the starter without question; but, how long
will it be before blue-chip stud Derek Shaw
finds his way under center? He spurned Miami
to have a chance to play in Tempe; whenever
given a shot, he'll be showing off his quick,
cannon-like release and fluidity in the
pocket.
Running
Back
Considering the disciplinary actions against
departed-Hakim Hill and Loren Wade, converted-WR
Rudy Burgess's performance was nothing short
of miraculous (186 yards vs. Stanford 11/6/04).
Nevertheless, ASU's running game was anything
but divine, finishing a dismal eighth in
Pac-10 rush offense with a division I-A-low
six ground scores. What the Sun Devils lack
in certainty, they make up for in optimism.
Even if Burgess returns to his more natural
WR position, Randy Hill will step up. The
RS junior was steady before injury (42car,
3.7avg), possessing the steely body (6'2,
208) to be a feature back. His ACL injury
lingers, though, leaving room for junior
Cornell Candidate, who is healing from his
own (groin) injury (season ending surgery).
Cornell may be undersized but he proves
speed runs in the family. Look for fellow
track-star Price Wilks to be the big surprise.
The true sophomore combines speed (10.7-sec
100 meters) with a bigger frame and great
hands. Assuming ASU can't rely on Wade,
Wilks will develop into the most complete
back. Koetter's wanted a go-to RB for years
so this will be spring's most hotly contested
position battle, and the competition will
only improve what was the nation's No.94
rushing squad.
Receiver
Derek Hagan is proof that recruiting is
overrated. Overlooked as a prep, the senior
will wind up becoming the most prolific
WR in Sun Devils history before October.
Nine catches and 274yds short of those career
marks at ASU, Hagan will set his sights
on a third straight 1,000+yd season, (has
already earned NC.net second-team) all-America
status and quite possibly the Biletnikoff
Award
he's that special a player.
Great after the catch, he's a big target
and a smooth route-runner with a superior
mental approach - he expects to be the best
WR when out there, period. This hard worker's
both consistent (14 of last 20 games with
100+yds rec.) and electric. Expect constant
double teams, which will open things up
for the other three returning snarlers.
The other starter - junior Terry Richardson
- is similar to Hagan physically and speed-wise.
On the field, he's almost as dangerous a
deep threat, but Matt Miller will take that
role away, stretching the field with 4.4-sec
40 speed. Burgess will help as an intermittent
slot receiver, though athletic, lanky Nate
Kimbrough is the youngster with the biggest
upside. With complex schemes and plenty
of ways to stretch defenses, this corps
will be tough to contain, though not deep
past these regulars. Injuries here would
likely devastate this offense.
Offensive
Line and Tight End
If great lines are built, not born, then
expectations are deservedly high for this
veteran bunch. Losing only one (oft-penalized)
member, the line brings back 20 years of
experience at ASU and will no doubt decrease
their 39 sacks allowed, especially with
more mobility at QB. NC.net first-team all-American
(also all-Pac-10) Grayling Love leads the
bunch with his versatility (he can play
any spot on the line) and weight-room tenacity.
Expect to see him at RG, but he could move
anywhere as the line was constantly reshuffled.
Towering tackles Chaz White (6'5")
and Andy Carnahan (6'8") can block
out the desert sun while monster RS junior
Stephen Berg (6'6", 313) is the best
run-blocker and should complement Love well
at guard. In all, the top six returnees
started 47 games last year, which should
help them accelerate their ability to adjust
in-game, a problem Stanford's Jon Alston
exposed for his four sacks against them.
Sophomore TE Zach Miller makes the line
exceptional. The freshman all-American exceeded
lofty expectations with school frosh records
for catches (56), and yards (552). Battle
scars have to equal results, or this talented
offense goes nowhere.
OFFENSIVE
BREAKDOWN
Dirk Koetter may be under fire for the way
the Arizona State program is run; however,
no one can question his offensive game-plans.
The top pass offense in the west put up
video game-like numbers of 500+ attempts
and 3800+ yds with a league high 35TDs.
There's no question that if/when Keller
fixes his release point, he will lead the
Sun Devils to similar numbers. Offensive
identity must be established for this team
to challenge, and Keller will do such. Fans
should hope for greater balance, and a fully-recovered
RB-corps will make this so. The run can
finally set up the pass here, making each
that much more effective. While stats show
ASU as among the Pac-10's best in the red
zone (79.2%), they settled for more field
goals than anyone because of an inability
to run (it in) near the goal line. There's
so much experience that the emergence of
a sufficient go-to back is all the Sun Devils
need to cement themselves as the conference's
second best offense behind USC.
|
|
OL
Grayling Love
|
|
|
ARIZONA
STATE 2005 DEPTH CHART
Returning Starters/Key
Players |
OFFENSE |
QB |
Sam
Keller-Jr (6-4, 227) |
Rudy
Carpenter-Fr (6-2, 178)
Chad Christensen-Sr (6-3, 208) |
TB |
Rudy
Burgess-So (5-11, 181) |
Randy Hill-Jr (6-2, 207)
Cornell Canidate-Sr (5-9, 206) |
HB |
Lee
Burghgraef-Sr (6-5, 261) |
Brent
Miller-So (6-5, 240) |
WR |
Derek
Hagan-Sr (6-2, 197) |
Moey
Mutz-Sr (6-2, 180) |
WR |
Terry
Richardson-Jr (6-1, 185) |
Matt
Miller-Sr (6-2, 173) |
TE |
Zach
Miller-So (6-4, 250) |
Jamaal
Lewis-Jr (6-4, 238) |
OT |
Brandon
Rodd-So (6-4, 313) |
Chaz
White-Sr (6-5, 297) |
OG |
Stephen
Berg-Jr (6-6, 319) |
Leo
Talavou-Fr (6-4, 277) |
C |
Grayling
Love-Sr (6-3, 297) |
Mike
Pollak-So (6-4, 279) |
OG |
Zach
Krula-Jr (6-7, 283) |
Robert
Gustavis-So (6-3, 297) |
OT |
Andrew
Carnahan-Jr (6-8, 297) |
Julius
Orieukwu-So (6-6, 311) |
K |
Jesse
Ainsworth-Jr (6-3, 219) |
Mark
Merrill-Jr (5-10, 185) |
|
|
2005
DEFENSE |
Defensive
Line
Depth on the front seven remains the key
issue for a defense that needs QB pressure
to win. Fortunately, at least two spots
on the line are locked up by talented returning
starters. Juniors DT Jordan Hill and DE
Kyle Caldwell form a deadly inside-out pair
whose combined 14.5 sacks made them the
only teammates among the top eight in the
Pac-10 in that category. The converted linebacker
Hill added bulk but continues to play the
middle with reckless abandon; expect him
to lead the team in TFLs (12 in '04). Caldwell's
quick first step makes him ideal for the
Sun Devils pass-rush-oriented "Cobra"
defensive front. The former prep All-American
has only made himself better with his rigorous
work ethic. At 6'3", 256, and boasting
a squat well above 500lbs, this physical
specimen won't allow double-teams to prevent
him from another monster statistical year.
The question is, who will surround these
two anchors on the line? Experience should
nab Quency Darley one spot, but after that,
look for a major shake-up of the two-deep
this spring. Considering the juco influx,
a monster DT like Shannon Jones could find
himself starting sooner than later. Hill
and Caldwell are work horses; but, even
they may tire without the depth to substitute
freely.
Linebacker
If Matt Fawley can pick up where he left
off, then this is the Sun Devils deepest
and most experienced unit. That could be
a big "if" for the former starter
(in '02 and '03) who was suspended for all
of last season. When on the field, Fawley
plays the ball-hawking "Devil back"
spot in ASU's 4-3 scheme, emulating his
idol and former Sun Devil Darren Woodson.
Fawley has surprising speed (4.5/40) and
possesses not only the cover skills expected
of a former safety, but also the instinct
to make plays in the backfield. Senior Dale
Robinson knows something about making plays
in the backfield (13 TFLs), or anywhere
for that matter. He's as sure a tackler
as there is (93 total, T-7th in Pac-10)
and can afford to play aggressively with
his savvy senior OLB mate, Jamar Williams,
shoring up the strong-side. Williams led
all ASU LBs in INTs and uses smooth changes
of direction to efficiently drop into coverage.
The unit is more speed than strength, which
means rush defense may again be only average
in the Pac-10; however, experience will
make this one of the better units in conference
and drastically improved in the red zone.
Defensive
Back
Arizona State fans should forward their
thank-you letters to the NCAA. Granted sixth
years of eligibility, returnees Emmanuel
Franklin and RJ Oliver instantly morph the
secondary from a glaring weakness to a marginal
strength. Granted, there is considerable
room for improvement on the Pac-10's seventh
best pass defense and Oliver, like Fawley,
is a question mark after missing '04 to
injury. Yet, new defensive coordinator Bill
Miller was known for sterling pass defenses
at Michigan State and Miami and has enough
talent to turn the Sun Devils around. Start
with Franklin, who led the secondary with
six TFLs while finishing in the conference's
top-ten in INTs and pass break-ups. Oliver
should do well one-on-one if he still has
the after-burners that garnered him Thorpe
award consideration in '03. Senior CB Josh
Golden forms a pair of undersized, speedy
corners who can tackle in the open-field,
but will need help on jump balls. Among
a solid three-deep, juco transfers CB Chris
Baloney and S Zach Catanese are the gems
whose height and 4.4 speed will warrant
starting consideration by mid-season. Bottom
line: if the established guard can't feed
the bulldog, then the newbies will quickly
rush in to fill any coverage voids. Unexpecting
foes will get burned by this unit.
DEFENSIVE
BREAKDOWN
The need for depth on the defensive side
led Coach Koetter to the junior college
ranks; however, don't view this as an act
of "win-now" desperation. While
immediacy was a consideration, the Sun Devils
have put together an athletic bunch who
will make this defense a force once gelled
and developed. For now, there are enough
returning starters to ensure improvements
in '05. The biggest concern is getting QB
pressure to catalyze the unit's aggressiveness.
While sacks will be down from the 36 that
led to -256yds (only USC was better in conference),
Caldwell and Hill are difference makers
that ensure the line's respectability. The
experience at linebacker offsets personnel
losses; plus, a change at coordinator will
breed newfound intensity, so weaknesses
could become strengths depending on many
presently unforeseen factors that spring
will straighten out. Or not. Expect fewer
shootouts in the desert as the collective
defensive speed, along with the maturity
to keep the play in front of them, will
limit big yardage and red-zone opportunities.
|
|
LB
Dale Robinson
|
|
|
ARIZONA
STATE 2005 DEPTH CHART
Returning Starters/Key
Players |
DEFENSE |
DE |
Mike
Talbot-Sr (6-2, 235) |
Wes
Evans-Fr (6-3, 256) |
DT |
Jordan
Hill-Jr (6-2, 277) |
DeWayne
Hollyfield-Sr (6-4, 287) |
DT |
Quency
Darley-Jr (6-2, 273) |
Brett
Palmer-So (6-2, 280) |
DE |
Kyle
Caldwell-Jr (6-3, 253) |
Will
Kofe-Jr (6-2, 280) |
SLB |
Jamar
Williams-Sr (6-1, 244) |
DeAndre
Johnson-So (6-1, 231) |
MLB |
Dale
Robinson-Sr (6-1, 236) |
Beau
Manutai-Jr (6-1, 260) |
DLB |
Robert
James-So (5-11, 213) |
Nick
Clapp-Sr (6-0, 221) |
CB |
R.J.
Oliver-Sr (5-9, 173) |
Chad
Green-So (5-10, 173) |
CB |
Josh
Golden-Sr (5-10, 174) |
Uriah
Marshall-Fr (5-11, 182) |
S |
Josh
Barrett-So (6-2, 206) |
Zach
Catanese-Jr (6-3, 215) |
S |
Emmanuel
Franklin-Sr (5-11, 196) |
Maurice
London-Sr (6-0, 181) |
P |
Chris
MacDonald-So (6-4, 214) |
Greg
Woidneck-Fr (6-0, 193) |
|
|
|
2005
SPECIAL TEAMS |
Kicker
The strong-legged junior K Jesse Ainsworth will
start for a third straight year after showing
consistency from inside 40yds. Improving on his
4-of-9 from 40-49 yards away is a given. Coverage
was stellar on KOs, so expect more of this as
special teams tighten up even more.
Punter
Former walk-on Chris MacDonald evolved into a
freshman all-American with an average over 43yds
(3rd, Pac-10), 15 punts inside the 15 and a laughable
long of 72yds. However, miserable coverage and
multiple blocked punts made this an illogically
inefficient area for the Sun Devils (worst net-punting
in conf.)
Return
Game
Consider Rudy Burgess the poor man's Reggie Bush.
He'll handle the bulk of both punt and kickoff
duties after respectable averages of 7.4yds/PR
and 22.5yds/KR. Terry Richardson could push for
punt return duties but more likely, ASU won't
fix what's not broken after finishing among the
conference leaders in returns. Ainsworth's frequent
touchbacks make coverage easier than usual.
|
|
|
|
|