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TE
Tim Day (PHOTO: Eric Evans) |
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2004
Statistics |
Coach:
Mike Bellotti
80-40,
10 years |
2004
Record: 5-6 |
|
INDIANA |
LOST
24-30 |
at
Oklahoma |
LOST
7-31 |
IDAHO |
WON
48-10 |
ARIZONA
STATE |
LOST
13-28 |
at
Washington State |
WON
41-38 |
ARIZONA |
WON
28-14 |
at
Stanford |
WON
16-13 |
WASHINGTON |
WON
31-6 |
at
California |
LOST
27-28 |
UCLA |
LOST
26-34 |
at
Oregon State |
LOST
21-50 |
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2004 Final Rankings
AP-UR, Coaches-UR, BCS-UR
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2005
Outlook |
With
Mike Belotti in charge, 5-6 just doesn't
cut it. Accordingly, the Ducks don't
stay down for long. What a horrible
omen when the Ducks lost the opener,
at home, to (ugh!) Indiana. They lost
three of their first four and then
their final three. The team wasn't
spectacular on special teams and turned
the ball over too much. One dilemma
was the lack of progress within Clemen's
level of play, which will change with
the new guru brought in to fix just
that.
With
the addition of offensive juggernaut
Gary Crowton as coordinator and a
loaded group of players at skill positions,
this offense should return to competing
for Pac-10 titles. Now, whether or
not an inexperienced offensive line
is going to allow those great skill
position players to do anything with
the football is going to be a major
key to winning. Crowton's throw-it-up
style can only help Clemens lead them
past any problem (areas).
Personnel
issues on defense are going to cause
problems early, but with a defensive
backfield as solid (tacklers) as any
in the conference, mistakes won't
be very noticeable and will seamlessly
disintegrate.
Fortunately,
forcing turnovers was never really
the problem. As mentioned, NOT turning
over the ball is going to be the key.
With these types of eager, speedy
players, the 'less-giving' Ducks will
now beat some teams they couldn't.
The Ducks are going to finish with
a winning record, but to second or
third in the conference is where they
need to return. That's what fans expect,
and that's the type of talent they
have. By October, Autzen Stadium is
going to be a place foes will not
want to come by mid-October - ergo,
the California and Arizona State games
will tell just how far this squad
has progressed, and those tilts will
reveal just what magic the Ducks still
have hidden behind their secret curtain.
Look for a late-season upswing as
the elements come together strongly
after disappointments build the character
needed.
Projected
2005 record: 6-5
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OREGON
*POWER RATINGS |
Offense |
Defense |
QB
- 3.5 |
DL
- 4 |
RB
- 3.5 |
LB
- 2.5 |
WR
- 3 |
DB
- 3.5 |
OL
- 3.5 |
.. |
|
RETURNING
LEADERS |
Passing:
Kellen Clemens, 372-223-10, 2548 yds.,
22 TD
Rushing: Terrence Whitehead,
200 att., 1144 yds., 6 TD
Receiving: Demetrius Williams,
47 rec., 593 yds., 2 TD
Scoring: Terrence Whitehead,
8 TD, 48 pts.; Tim Day, 8 TD, 48 pts.
Punting: David Dittman, 59
punts, 38.4 avg.
Kicking: None
Tackles: J.D. Nelson, 66 tot.,
39 solo
Sacks: Devan Long, 7.5 sacks
Interceptions: Aaron Gipson,
4 for 39 yds.
Kickoff Returns: Andiel Brown,
1 ret., 5.0 avg., 0 TD
Punt Returns: Justin Phinisee,
17 ret., 15.4 avg., 1 TD
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DB
Justin Phinisee (PHOTO: Eric Evans) |
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OREGON
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|
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OFFENSE
- 7 |
----RETURNING
STARTERS---- |
DEFENSE
- 7 |
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KEY
LOSSES |
OFFENSE:
Kenny Washington-TB, Marcus Maxwell-WR,
Adam Snyder-OT, Nick Steitz-OG, Robin
Knebel-OL, Mike DeLaGrange-OT, Jared
Siegel-K |
DEFENSE:
Chris
Solomona-DE, Ramone Reed-WLB, Jerry
Matson-MLB, Marley Tucker-ROV, Robby
Valenzuela-DT, David
Dittman-P |
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2005
OFFENSE |
Quarterback
This is the final year for Kellen Clemens.
Clemens was expected to breakout more last
year, but he basically stayed at the same
performance level to end up with an honorable
mention honor from the Pac 10 (up against
Rogers and Leinart). But he certainly needs
to be marginally better for the Ducks to get
the levels of those teams. He has a strong
supporting cast around him, so look for that
improvement to occur. But the former Oregon
"Gatorade Player of the Year" has
started since he has been a sophomore, so
his third try should be the charm. Look for
Dennis Dixon regardless, as he is the future.
Dixon's speed-size combo makes him able to
drop back or run right by anyone. He will
be seen, and will make unprepared foes pay.
This unit is strong. Running
Back
Terrence Whitehead's ability has the recognition
of his teammates (voted team MVP in '04).
He virtually came out of nowhere, rushing
for 100 yards or more in six of his last
nine appearances. With that type of running
to finish the season, he will be back in
the same form this fall. He had more receptions
than any running back in the Pac-10 (44),
so look for an expended role (ala Reggie
Bush) for this dual threat. With Whitehead
and the addition of freshman Jonathan Stewart,
the Ducks should trail only USC's in 1-2
punch. Stewart (another bowling ball rated
tops for RBs by Rivals.com) was a consensus
prep all-American and is going to see playing
time. Throw in the chemistry Whitehead has
already developed with Clemens, and playmaking
fullback Dante Rosario, and the Ducks are
going to have one of the top two or three
backfields in the conference, definitely
the most physical
.
Receiver
The Ducks went out and got two high-profile
receivers. Demetrius Williams returns at
one wide receiver spot, though he underachieved
for expectations, but junior college recruit
James Finley is immediately going to see
playing time. The same could go for Derrick
Jones, a player who practiced with Southern
Cal last fall before not qualifying academically.
At 6-2, 200 pounds, Finley has the speed
to be an impact receiver. Coach Mike Belotti
said on signing day that Finley should be
the speed receiver to stretch the field.
Cameron Colvin, who battled inconsistency
as a freshman, will be the fourth receiver
to be shuffled in. The unit will grow quickly,
complimenting the running game well with
size throughout the third string for blocking,
as well as presence for underneath routes
that occupy LBs for that split second needed.
Tight
End
Tim Day is a potent threat at tight end,
where he was selected second-team all-Pac-10.
He will be Clements' best option in the
red zone (8 TDs). He can only get better,
and with the receivers sizes, he will face
mismatches every week to grease the Duck's
offensive machine.
Offensive
Line
This, more than anything, will determine
the Ducks season. Guard Ian Reynoso is the
only starter back. And of the guys who were
behind the starters last year, none were
older than sophomores. Two of the players
- Geoff Schwartz and Josh Tschirgi - were
freshmen and part of heralded group of recruits
that will affect this crew well. The Ducks
brought in two big junior college players
to fill big spots. Especially good with
size and speed, Pat Soroalo is going to
make up for the loss of Adam Snyder. The
line could use rebuilding after allowing
41 sacks, though earning anywhere close
4.1 per carry again will be the real measuring
stick. All of the critical elements will
take time to click as the line gels, so
by the third game, the season will take
its due course, going as far as this line
will take it.
OFFENSIVE
BREAKDOWN
No doubt, the skill positions are loaded.
Clement is headed for a stellar season,
and Whitehead and Stewart are going to be
a productive duo that will wear down opposing
linemen. The passing game will surely benefit
from the addition of offensive coordinator
Gary Crowton, the man who put BYU's passing
game back on the map (ranked 12th last year
with a first-year starting soph). All they
need now is the offensive line to come together,
and quickly. Look for the change in their
38% third-down conversion rate to also be
a barometer for progress here. The short
passing game, especially with Day, should
be enough to keep foes from loading the
box too often, as will power running outside
to spread the field that way. Another key
stat will be if their total offensive ranking
(37th) again outpaces their scoring placement
(55th) - production has to equal point for
Oregon to reach the levels of those nationally
intimidating in-conference foes.
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RB
Terrence Whitehead (PHOTO: Eric Evans)
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OREGON
2005 DEPTH CHART
Returning Starters/Key
Players |
OFFENSE |
QB |
Kellen
Clemens-Sr (6-2, 218) |
Dennis
Dixon-So (6-4, 192) |
FB |
Dante
Rosario-Jr (6-4, 243) |
Jonathan
Levine-Jr (6-3, 243) |
TB |
Terrence
Whitehead-Sr (5-10, 220) |
Terrell
Jackson-Fr (5-9, 196) |
WR |
Demetrius
Williams-Sr (6-2, 191) |
Brian
Paysinger-So (6-2, 202) |
WR |
Cameron
Colvin-So (6-2, 199) |
Garren
Strong-So (6-3, 184) |
TE |
Tim
Day-Sr (6-4, 265) |
Nate
LiaBraaten-Sr (6-5, 255) |
OT |
Geoff
Schwartz-So (6-7, 351) |
Aaron
Klovas-Fr (6-6, 303) |
OG |
Josh
Tschirgi-So (6-4, 289) |
Mark
Lewis-Fr (6-4, 302) |
C |
Enoka
Lucas-Jr (6-3, 296) |
Jeff
Kendall-Fr (6-3, 279) |
OG |
Ian
Reynoso-Sr (6-4, 305) |
Max
Unger-Fr (6-5, 291) |
OT |
Shawn
Flanagan-Jr (6-5, 305) |
Jermaine
Randolph-Jr (6-5, 313) |
K |
Paul
Martinez-Jr (6-2, 215) |
Luke
Bellotti-So (5-9, 165) |
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2005
DEFENSE |
Defensive
Line
The right side of the line will anchor the
unit. NC.net first-team all-American Haloti
Ngata is an absolute monster at tackle, both
with his amazing size-speed combo and his
play, and he is going to improve on a season
where he was second-team all-Pac 10 - really,
he's only a junior. Next to him is Devan Long
(brother Rien won Outland). His brother blossomed
late, and Devan is on the same track. Darius
Sanders is the most athletic lineman. Chris
Solomona is quick enough to drop back (2 INTs),
and his 10 TFLs prove that he keeps his responsibility
in mind well. This unit can only improve,
so look for sacks to go up and average per
carry to go down. Linebacker
The Ducks were hit hard by graduation at
this position. The only returning starter
is Anthony Trucks, who will again be strong
with his speed in coverage and open-field
tackling abilities. The Ducks made a point
of bringing in some junior college linebackers,
indicating the other two spots are wide
open. Blair Phillips and Jason Turner, like
Trucks, are both big and fast enough to
impact immediately. A.J. Tuitele has the
skills and size to grab the outside linebacker
position. The sophomore was a safety in
high school, and he was one of the top 25
defensive backs in the country. He is getting
bigger and should be an impact player by
the time he leaves. He is the type of hybrid
player that typify Oregon's LB corps. The
depth here should be worthy to rotate in
and genuinely help, but by when will tell
much about where this team goes.
Defensive
Back
This
is going to be one of the best secondaries
in the conference. Every member of the secondary
that started returns, including standout
Aaron Gipson at one corner. At the other
corner is Jackie Bates, possibly the best
young corner in the conference. With two
experienced, lockdown corners, the Ducks
will be able to take chances. With Justin
Phinisee at rover, J.D. Nelson at free safety
can continue his excellent run-support,
so the well-cast roles back here will allow
other defensive units to know what is needed
of them more quickly, the key to blowing
up play-action and draws/delays. Speed at
LB will make these guys that much more aggressive
knowing they're able to gamble and lose
without the team going south.
DEFENSIVE
BREAKDOWN
Oregon
displayed a rather even balance in stopping
the run and pass, but neither was enough
to make for decisive Duck wins. Teams will
again be forced to pass when the run-stopping
is stout, but the aerial defense will be
that much better so that the stunts and
blitzes can have maximum impact. Obviously,
Football 101 tells us that the point total
again being 25+ per tilt won't work, no
matter how well an individual's or a specific
unit's impact(s) will seem to be. But look
for the line to trigger a domino effect
of sorts, as they occupy enough hats to
make the budding LBs shine, and therefore
allowing the DBs to (seemingly) sit back
and then pick their way to Oregon dominance
on this side of the ball. When the Ducks
do tighten coverage and still blitz, you
will see the TO-margin tilt their way and
wins then come, regardless of the offensive
production.
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DT
Haloti Ngata (PHOTO: Eric Evans)
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OREGON
2005 DEPTH CHART
Returning Starters/Key
Players |
DEFENSE |
DE |
Matt
Toeaina-Jr (6-3, 279) |
Darius
Sanders-Sr (6-5, 279) |
DT |
Haloti
Ngata-Jr (6-5, 338) |
Ra'Shon
Harris-Fr (6-5, 305) |
DT |
David
Faateete-So (6-2, 296) |
Cole
Linehan-Fr (6-4, 300) |
DE |
Devan
Long-Sr (6-4, 266) |
Victor
Filipe-Jr (6-2, 275) |
LB |
Brent
Haberly-Jr (6-0, 220) |
Ryan
Phipps-So (5-11, 210) |
LB |
Justin
Andrews-Sr (6-2, 242) |
Jon
Pope-Jr (6-1, 230) |
ROV |
Demetrius
Spates-Sr (5-11, 203) |
Parris
Moore-jr (5-11, 185) |
CB |
Aaron
Gipson-Sr (5-9, 179) |
Willie
Glasper-Fr (5-11, 185) |
CB |
Justin
Phinisee-Sr (5-11, 200) |
Jackie
Bates-So (5-10, 176) |
SS |
Anthony
Trucks-Sr (6-1, 226) |
A.J.
Tuitele-So (5-11, 210) |
FS |
J.D.
Nelson-Jr (5-11, 211) |
Ryan
DePalo-So (6-1, 199) |
P |
Aaron
Knowles-Jr (6-0, 182) |
Matt
Dragich-Jr (6-1, 222) |
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2005
SPECIAL TEAMS |
Kicker
Jared
Siegel graduated last year, and the only kicker
on the roster is Luke Belotti. But Paul Martinez
will move from punter, where he was a backup,
to kicker. Martinez was a kicker in high school
and gives the Ducks their best option.
Punter
The
Ducks had a specific need here and addressed it
with a junior college player, the best at his
position. Matt Dragich is a directional punter
with 4.2-second average hangtime, who will assuredly,
along with a hungry reserve crew, make net results
improve.
Return Game
Justin
Phinisee is one of the best, averaging 15.4 yards
per punt return as he ran one back. Kick returners
Ryan Shaw and Kenny Washington graduated, so Phinisee
could take over duties there. If he doesn't, Andiel
Brown is awaiting his reps here. Ngata two blocked
kicks, so watch for No.96 blastng through the
middle, even on special teams.
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