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TE
Joe Newton |
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Coach:
Mike Riley
23-24
,2 yearS |
2004
Record: 7-5 |
|
at
Louisiana State |
LOST
21-22 |
at
Boise State |
LOST
34-53 |
NEW
MEXICO |
WON
17-7 |
at
Arizona State |
LOST
14-27 |
CALIFORNIA |
LOST
7-49 |
at
Washington |
WON
29-14 |
WASHINGTON
STATE |
WON
38-19 |
at
Arizona |
WON
28-14 |
SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA |
LOST
20-28 |
at
Stanford |
WON
24-19 |
OREGON |
WON
50-21 |
INSIGHT
BOWL |
vs.
Notre Dame |
WON
38-21 |
|
2004 Final Rankings
AP-UR, Coaches-UR, BCS-UR
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2005
Outlook |
As
expansions are made to Reser Stadium,
the question is whether these Beavers
will warrant the added capacity. Under
Riley, Oregon State has established
a trend of statistical dominance that
hasn't necessarily translated into
wins on the field. For all of Anderson's
records, an Insight.com bowl win remains
his crowning accomplishment. Hidden
in the Beavers' gaudy numbers is a
recent history of interceptions, inconsistent
blocking and a penchant for penalties
on both sides of the ball.
OSU
needs discipline and stability, which
hinges on the play at QB and RB. Is
Moore enough a competitor after deciding
he wasn't getting a shot at UCLA and
sitting out all of '04? Can Bernard
or Walker prove that wowing coaches
in drills means they can get it done
against the Pac-10's best? Moore is
a solid bet, based on the desire he's
shown in off-season workouts and the
physical tools that made him a freshman
starter in the first place. Not having
Anderson's gun-slinging mentality
will help keep turnovers down and
the defense rested. At RB, it's unlikely
one back turns into an all-league
type, so a reasonable expectation
is a rotation to keep fresh legs on
the field and utilize their receiving
potential. The wide-receivers are
so solid (and Pac-10 secondaries so
shaky) that they'll find ways to put
up points at a similar clip to '04.
The
defense comes down to schemes. OSU
coaches should allow Bray & Co.
to play with reckless abandon to get
in the backfield; the longer opposing
QBs have to pick apart the secondary,
the easier it will be. The pressure's
on McCullough to be able to handle
receivers on an island. Still, State
won't again be able to hold foes to
anywhere near 29% on third-downs conversions,
and since they already had a disparaging
difference between total and scoring
(defensive) rankings (18th and 48th),
just how, when and why they stop opponents
will not be for the same potent reasons
as they were last year.
They
aren't overly deep, but nor are they
inexperienced with 16 starters back
(counting special teams). Barring
uncanny off-season improvements, expect
only close to a similar record. Three
early tilts with their toughest '05
foes will stagger the establishment
of any flow, which will then slowly
come through a modest conference slate.
The Beavers lost all five games to
top 25 opponents, and with their new
QB to go along with their specific
losses on defense, that won't change.
The predictable nature of this campaign
shouldn't dull Beaver fan's bite,
for Riley will give them plenty of
quality football to chew on - it just
won't not be enough to dam the Dead
River for extra wins.
Projected
2005 record: 6-5
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OREGON
STATE
*POWER RATINGS |
Offense |
Defense |
QB
- 3 |
DL
- 3.5 |
RB
- 2 |
LB
- 3.5 |
WR
- 4.5 |
DB
- 3 |
OL
- 2.5 |
.. |
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RETURNING
LEADERS |
Passing:
Ryan Gunderson, 16-7-0, 74 yds., 0
TD
Rushing: Ryan Cole, 80 att.,
210 yds., 2 TD
Receiving: Mike Hass, 86 rec.,
1379 yds., 7 TD
Scoring: Alexis Serna, 17-20
FG, 29-32 PAT, 80 pts.
Punting: Sam Paulescu, 72 punts,
42.5 avg.
Kicking: Alexis Serna, 17-20
FG, 29-32 PAT, 80 pts.
Tackles: Trent Bray, 122 tot.,
66 solo
Sacks: Keith Ellison, 4 sacks
Interceptions: Sabby Piscitelli,
5 for 34 yds.
Kickoff Returns: Lamar Herron,
12 ret., 18.0 avg., 0 TD
Punt Returns: Sammie Stroughter,
28 ret., 7.0 avg., 0 TD
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DB
Sabby Piscitelli |
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OREGON
STATE
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OFFENSE
- 7 |
----RETURNING
STARTERS---- |
DEFENSE
- 6 |
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KEY
LOSSES |
OFFENSE:
Derek Anderson-QB, Dwight Wright-TB,
George Gillett-WR, Matt Brock-C, Doug
Nienhuis-OT |
DEFENSE:
Bill
Swancutt-DE, Jonathan Pollard-WLB, Aric
Williams-CB, Mitch Meeuwsen-FS, Brandon
Browner-CB (NFL) |
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2005
OFFENSE |
Quarterback
So what does Coach Riley do? He recruits
experience. Transfer Matt Moore, a starter
as a freshman at UCLA, has Pac-10 experience
(13 games in '02 and '03) and a renewed
motivation for football. The former prep
all-American sat out last season in junior
college, toyed with baseball and recovered
from injury; still, Riley believes the 6'4"
junior can step in and start immediately.
Moore has great arm strength and is already
working with his receivers, but for now,
the first spring snaps belong to Ryan Gunderson.
Don't let his 43.8 comp% fool you; the lanky
sophomore never had a chance to get in rhythm
in such limited action. Accuracy is his
strength and he has the intelligence to
excel in a wide-open Riley offense. Athletic
Brian Hildebrand has the physical tools
of Anderson and will fight for a back-up
spot at this wide-open position; yet, Moore's
leadership and ability to protect the ball
give him the nod as we sit now. Expect to
see both, and the competition only benefits
the Beavers.
Running
Back
Anemic doesn't begin to describe the nation's
worst backfield that averaged 70.7 yds/gm
and 2.2ypc. Blame in part suspect blocking
schemes up front, as well as a willingness
to put the game in Anderson's hands. Only
Stanford had fewer attempts on the ground,
so look for Riley to re-commit to the run
to help out the new QBs. The beneficiary
will be small-but-tight Yvenson Bernard,
who is as tough as they come. The RS sophomore
looked to be the most fluid RB a year ago
but clearly had not grasped the offense.
Complimenting Bernard's shifty style is
Florida transfer Jimtavis Walker, a powerful
runner at 225lbs whose off-field disciplinary
problems put his future in question. 13
SEC games in '03 hardened this all-purpose
back who has the instinct to find the endzone,
assuming he can even get on the field. Developed
depth is an obvious concern, but potential
depth isn't, as newbies galore - of all
sizes - await in the wings.
Receiver
Questions at WR were more than answered
in '04. First-team NC.net all-American standout
Mike Hass heads a corps that's big (all
at least 6'0"), deep, physical, and
the clear strength of the offense. The former
walk-on didn't just dominate the conference;
he finished third in the nation in receptions
(86) and ninth in yards (1379), despite
his unassuming physique. He's not a burner,
but may be the best route-runner in the
country (averaged 23 per his 44 catches
in 2003). The senior epitomizes the team's
focus on acceleration and mechanics and
will again find ways to get open, earning
Biletnikoff buzz. While Hass sets records,
Marcel Love will show off his versatility
in the slot. The juco transfer adjusted
quicker than expected, finishing third on
the team in catches, TDs and yards and should
expect 50+ to come his way. Switching Anthony
Wheat-Brown from FS to WR last fall gave
the unit a leaper and a consistent threat
at flanker. A long of 35yds won't cut it
though; he - like Hass already does - needs
to get behind defenses to open things up
for this stable of talent that will frequently
go to four- and five-wide sets.
Offensive
Line and Tight End
Even with senior leaders and All-Pac-10
performers, the line couldn't open running
lanes or finish better than seventh in conference
with 37 sacks allowed. As at RB, things
seemingly will improve. Start with bookend
tackles Adam Koets and Tavita Thompson,
two 6'6" giants with prep pedigrees
and poise beyond their years. The junior
and RS freshman, respectively, have bulked
up and will not be overmatched in one- on-one
situations. Another RS freshman, Jeremy
Perry, looks like he could join Thompson
as a career four-year starter. He's both
the smallest and quickest of the two-deep
guards which will toughen OSU's zone-blocking
schemes. Size isn't a concern. Off-season
improvements should improve the line to
make it among the best in conference, especially
with TE Joe Newton. The junior is a dream
target at 6'7" with gluey hands and
his productivity (top seven in Pac-10 in
yards and receptions) has forced the Beavers
to rewrite their blocking-TE philosophy
- other TE Dan Haines also had 14 catches,
though both can lay the wood, too.
OFFENSIVE
BREAKDOWN
The normally run-oriented Mike Riley had
to abandon that mantra to fit the Beavers'
strengths (threw on 58% of their plays;
177 first-downs passing vs. 46 rushing).
He kept the Beavers' offense near the top
of the Pac-10 and amazingly had the league's
best red-zone offense (85.7%) without a
go-to back. Expect Anderson's departure
to drop the passing numbers, but so too
will conservative play cut down on the INTs
(17). Commitment to the run will pay off
and added balance makes the quick, savvy
receiving corps that much more effective.
The Beavers need one RB to step up; and
even then, they will have to stay with it,
even when stopped, so as to wear foes down
and forge this new identity. Seven returning
starters and solid play by Moore are reason
to believe they'll be more consistent.
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WR
Mike Hass
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OREGON
STATE 2005 DEPTH CHART
Returning Starters/Key
Players |
OFFENSE |
QB |
Matt
Moore-Jr (6-4, 191) |
Ryan
Gunderson-So (6-5, 226) |
TB |
Yvenson
Bernard-So (5-9, 203) |
Jimtavis
Walker-Jr (5-10, 225)
Olaniyi Sobomehin-So (6-1, 228) (FB) |
WR |
Mike
Hass-Sr (6-1, 208) |
Sammie
Stroughter-So (6-0, 189) |
WR |
Marcel
Love-Sr (6-0, 189) |
Brandon
Powers-So (6-2, 213) |
WR |
Josh
Hawkins-Sr (6-1, 193) |
Anthony
Wheat-Brown-So (6-1, 216) |
TE |
Joe
Newton-Jr (6-7, 258) |
Dan
Haines-Sr (6-5, 257) |
OT |
Adam
Koets-Jr (6-6, 297) |
Andy
Levitre-Fr (6-3, 330) |
OG |
Jeremy
Perry-Fr (6-2, 315) |
J.C.
Ronnfeldt-Jr (6-4, 342) |
C |
Kyle
DeVan-So (6-2, 293) |
Adam
Speer-Fr (6-3, 288) |
OG |
Roy
Schuening-So (6-4, 316) |
Gregg
Peat-Fr (6-4, 290) |
OT |
Josh
Linehan-Jr (6-5, 307) |
Tavita
Thompson-Fr (6-6, 302) |
K |
Alexis
Serna-So (5-8, 157) |
.. |
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2005
DEFENSE |
Defensive
Line
When the first ever Beaver named Pac-10
Player of the Year graduates, expect some
drop-off. Without the constant attention
Bill Swancutt drew, the ends will be asked
to play more contain and let the push come
from the veterans inside. Ben Siegert has
started since freshman year and his ability
to plug holes triggers the run defense.
He's more athletic than wide-body Alvin
Smith, who, nevertheless, is relentless
in getting to the backfield, leading all
DTs with six TFLs. "Sir" Henry
Anderson can shed blocks and adds experience
if he can resolve his academic situation
by fall, a potential problem for Smith as
well. DE Joe Lemma started all season but
his productivity so far fails to match his
playing time. Pressure off the corner will
come flowing from Jeff Van Orsow. This unit
held foes to 10 ground TDs and was 22nd
in run defense, so we think three out of
four starters - though minus a legend -
will come close to these numbers again as
they impact opponents' game plans with their
staunch ability, still.
Linebacker
The LB unit is a dream scenario for any
coach: a talented, game-tested senior at
every spot. MLB Trent Bray punishes RBs
and expects to lead the Pac-10 in tackles
after falling just three short of that in
'04 (122). He swarms to the ball (league-high
57 assisted tackles) but doesn't over-pursue
despite his aggressiveness. As he racks
up 10+ tackles every game, WLB Keith Ellison
will torment the opposition in every other
way. After finishing in the league's top-ten
in forced fumbles (recovering two), posting
a three-sack game, and leading the LBs in
pass break-ups (seven) and TFLs, it's clear
there's nothing he doesn't do well. The
juco transfer possesses safety speed and
cover skills, allowing SLB Chaz Scott to
cheat up on the run. He's a brutal tackler
who'll bolster OSU's prowess in rush defense,
even with only a marginally dominant line.
A trio of sophomores back-up the best LB
corps in the Pac-10; post-season honors
are likely. With the young DBs (see below),
we will just see if this corps can still
be what it want to in its ability to go
where needed. In other words, we get a feeling
they will be dropping back as nickel- and
dime-packages should be the flavor of the
season when things leak behind them. Practice
back-peddling, guys
Defensive
Back
Arguably what was the nation's best secondary,
all four OSU DB's received all-league honors
after leading the Pac-10 (pass defense efficiency).
Brandon Browner's early NFL declaration
only further ensured this as a rebuilding
year, with few returning bright spots. One
is SS Sabby Piscitelli, a strong, versatile
athlete who must star as the QB of the secondary.
He returns after a stellar campaign in the
shadow of departed Mitch Meeuwsen and looks
plenty capable of repossessing his first-team
All-Pac-10 spot. He'll be helped if Edorian
McCullough continues the Beavers' recent
trend of juco transfers stepping in right
away. The junior was recruited by USC and
Texas but will bring his sub-4.4 speed and
shut-down cover skills to Corvallis. Sophomore
Lamar Herron can play everywhere; his quickness
gives him similar upside. However, without
a consistent pass rush and new faces playing
more conservatively, expect a significant
drop from '04's 19 INTs and league best
43.9 opponents' comp %. Defensive coordinator
Mark Banker is also their secondary coach
(nine years), so expect a rebound here not
to take as long as many might expect, but
how fast it happens will go a long way toward
defining the entire campaign.
DEFENSIVE
BREAKDOWN
As on offense, seven starters return; yet,
the four departed were all key all-league
performers. The '05 Beavers won't have the
same speed, but they'll be bigger and tougher,
thanks to their own wrecking crew at LB.
This will pay off in the red-zone where
statistically they were second best in the
Pac-10 (71.7%) yet, only Arizona gave up
more TDs (meaning they allowed big plays,
so stemming that will help). For all their
forced turnovers and statistical rankings,
the '04 squad under-performed when it mattered.
A bend-don't-break philosophy will keep
scoring down, though yards could then go
up. Look for the LBs to drop back early
for aid in the secondary, and you will know
if OSU is in trouble by how often they feel
a need to go to extra DBs instead of blitz
packages - the more blitzes, the more they
trust and can rely upon the secondary. Great
tackling and savvy leadership up the middle
are enough to compensate; this mix of seniors
and raw talent will surprise, again finishing
in the Pac-10's top three in total defense.
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LB
Trent Bray
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OREGON
STATE 2005 DEPTH CHART
Returning Starters/Key
Players |
DEFENSE |
DE |
Joe
Lemma-Jr (6-3, 257) |
Joe
Rudulph-So (6-5, 243) |
DT |
Ben
Siegert-Jr (6-4, 275) |
Curtis
Coker-So (6-1, 304) |
DT |
Alvin
Smith-Sr (6-2, 322) |
Sir
Henry Anderson-Sr (6-3, 314) |
DE |
Jeff
Van Orsow-So (6-4, 262) |
Jeremy
Weldon-Sr (6-3, 277) |
SLB |
Keith
Ellison-Sr (6-2, 227) |
Derrick
Doggett-So (6-3, 201) |
MLB |
Trent
Bray-Sr (6-1, 237) |
Alan
Darlin-So (6-1, 252) |
WLB |
Chaz
Scott-Sr (6-2, 233) |
Andy
Darkins-So (6-2, 233) |
CB |
Keenan
Lewis-Fr (6-1, 190) |
Kellen
Marshall-Jr (5-11, 189) |
CB |
Gerard
Lawson-So (5-11, 188) |
Rickey
Herod-Jr (5-10, 195) |
SS |
Sabby
Piscitelli-Jr (6-3, 224) |
Daniel
Drayton-So (5-10, 206) |
FS |
Lamar
Herron-So (6-0, 210) |
Al
Afalava-Fr (6-0, 180) |
P |
Sam
Paulescu-Sr (6-0, 194) |
Jon
Strowbridge-So (6-2, 249) |
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2005
SPECIAL TEAMS |
Kicker
Sophomore Alexis Serna deserved a comeback-player
award after the PAT debacle at LSU. His response:
a conference best 17-for-20 on FGAs, missing only
one inside 41yds. He's a darkhorse all-American
(NC.net Honorable Mention).
Punter
A JC all-American, senior Sam Paulescu starred
immediately for the Beavers. He has a big leg
(69yd long) and good hang-time, helping OSU finish
third in Pac-10 net-punting (37.5yd/avg.)
Return
Game
The explosive sophomore pair of Lamar Herron and
Sammie Stroughter gives OSU certainty on returns
that they lacked this time last year. Stroughter
led the team in KR and PR averages (20.5, 7.0
respectively) but Herron should handle the bulk
of the punt return duties with his sure hands.
Even with greater speed on special teams, league
worst kick coverage and return averages mean there's
plenty of work to be done.
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