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RB
Marshawn Lynch (PHOTO CREDIT - Tom Hauck) |
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2005
Statistics |
Coach:
Jeff Tedford
33-17,
4 years |
2005
Record: 8-4 |
|
SACRAMENTO
STATE |
WON
41-3 |
at
Washington |
WON
56-17 |
ILLINOIS |
WON
35-20 |
at
New Mexico State |
WON
41-13 |
ARIZONA |
WON
28-0 |
at
UCLA |
LOST
40-47 |
OREGON
STATE |
LOST
20-23 |
WASHINGTON
STATE |
WON
42-38 |
at
Oregon |
LOST
20-27 (OT) |
USC |
LOST
10-35 |
at
Stanford |
WON
27-3 |
LAS
VEGAS BOWL |
vs.
Brigham Young |
WON
35-28 |
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2005 Final Rankings
AP-25, Coaches-25, BCS-UR
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2006
Outlook |
Jeff
Tedford has quickly taken a struggling
program and built it back into a power.
Cal has gone 33-17 under Tedford,
been ranked as high as No. 4, and
reached three straight bowls for the
first time in more than 50 years.
Last season's disappointing 8-4 finish,
which ended in a Las Vegas Bowl win
against BYU, would have been considered
a solid year not that long ago. But
after being the major thorn in Southern
Cal’s national championship
efforts for three years (beat them
in 2003 in the Trojan’s only
loss, and lost other two tilts by
a total of eight combined points),
last year was a step back from them
being both in the conference and national
picture. "It's great to see our
program is at that level that we get
criticized for four losses,"
graduating rover Donnie McCleskey
said after the LV Bowl.
The
rub is that the program's growth has
been overshadowed with USC's coinciding
rise into the nation's top program,
so they could easily fly under many
radar(s) this campaign. Entering Tedford's
fifth season, the focus has evolved
from reaching bowl games and hoping
to pull the occasional big upset to
taking the next step. That means competing
again with the Trojans for Pac-10
supremacy, getting BCS bids and contending
for the national title. "It's
nice to go to the bowls," Tedford
told the Modesto Bee in March, "but
there is more for us to accomplish."
On
paper at least, this team has the
potential and/or talent to challenge
the Trojans for top-dawg status in
both capacities. Even with a somewhat
shaky secondary, the defense will
be among the best in the conference.
On offense, the ground game should
be among the most explosive in the
nation, especially as a young line
gels. A talented, experienced WR corps
leads a strong group of targets in
the new spread attack that should
ease the transition of whichever of
the four contenders wins the QB derby.
That
QB must quickly earn the confidence
of his teammates while developing
into a leader. That makes an already
pivotal opener at Tennessee that much
more crucial and one of the best non-con
matchups of the year. An upset there
could set the tone for a special season.
On the other hand, with some of these
guys talking national title after
the LV Bowl, a big loss in Knoxville
could be devastating to the team confidence,
and will least of all show the Bears
which areas need work. That would
turn the Week 2 matchup with Minnesota
at Berkeley into an early character
test that would genuinely set the
tone for the rest of the season.
The
conference schedule is favorable with
five home dates. It gets gradually
tougher, leading up to the big Nov.
18 showdown at USC. Barring last year's
disaster at QB, this team should be
clicking by then after going through
the early-season fires, giving the
Bears at least a puncher's chance
of duplicating their 2003 upset. But
UCLA and Arizona State won’t
be pushovers, though both come into
the Bay area.
Win
or lose that tilt, this might not
be the year Tedford catches up to
Pete Carroll. But his program has
a shot at greatly narrowing the sizeable
gap, and he has succeeded with what
many thought were questionable groups.
A quality year has to be measured
by the national standard, though,
and this group of hungry Bears should
vault back into the BCS picture sooner
than most know, unless you are reading
this.
Projected
2006 record: 9-3
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DB
Daymeion Hughes (PHOTO CREDIT - Michael Pimentel) |
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CALIFORNIA
*POWER RATINGS |
Offense |
Defense |
QB
- 3.5 |
DL
- 4 |
RB
- 5 |
LB
- 4 |
WR
- 4 |
DB
- 3.5 |
OL
- 3 |
.. |
|
RETURNING
LEADERS |
Passing:
Joe Ayoob, 254-125-14, 1707 yds.,
15 TD
Rushing: Marshawn Lynch, 196
att., 1246 yds., 10 TD
Receiving: DeSean Jackson,
38 rec., 601 yds., 7 TD
Scoring: Tom Schneider, 9-16
FG, 50-52 PAT, 77 pts.
Punting: none
Kicking: Tom Schneider, 9-16 FG,
50-52 PAT, 77 pts.
Tackles: Desmond Bishop, 75.5
tot., 62 solo
Sacks: Brandon Mebane, 7 sacks
Interceptions: Daymeion Hughes,
5 for 159 yds., 1 TD
Kickoff Returns: Marshawn Lynch,
13 ret., 20.8 avg., 0 TD
Punt Returns: Tim Mixon, 24
ret., 14.9 avg., 1 TD
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CALIFORNIA
|
|
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OFFENSE
- 7 |
----RETURNING
STARTERS---- |
DEFENSE
- 7 |
|
KEY
LOSSES |
OFFENSE:
Chris Manderino-FB, Marvin Philip-C,
Aaron Merz-OG, Ryan O'Callaghan-OT |
DEFENSE:
Tosh
Lupoi-DE, Ryan Foltz-OLB, Donnie McCleskey-ROV,
Harrison Smith-FS, David Lonie-P |
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2006
OFFENSE |
Quarterback
An
interesting wrinkle was tossed into the
four-way QB derby when the Bears hired Northwestern
OC Mike Dunbar to replace NFL-bound George
Cortez. Dunbar was the mastermind of the
Wildcats' innovative spread attack, and
his addition signals a change in the balanced
Cal offense. The job could go to the QB
who best fits the altered look. The winner
of that derby is one of the keys to this
team's '06 fortunes. Heading into spring
ball, the ever-so slight favorite was senior
Steve Levy, who stepped into the starting
role in the final two games and gained his
teammates' confidence with a pair of wins.
The former-FB has decent accuracy (61.5
completion %) and arm strength, and is tough
to stop when he decides to run (4.0 yards
per carry). He's a guy who would get it
done behind a standout group of skill people,
but don't expect him to win the Heisman.
Any of the other three more talented candidates
could emerge as the starter. Nathan Longshore,
a redshirt soph, is a 6-5 big-armed pocket
passer who won the job entering last season,
then broke his ankle in the opener. He has
all the technical tools to be The Man, though
he lacks foot-speed and experience. Senior
Joe Ayoob, a JUCO-transfer two years ago,
has the arm, speed and experience. Physically,
he resembles Dunbar protégé
Brett Basanez. But he was close to a disaster
in his nine games as starter and needs to
rebuild his confidence after completing
under 50 percent of his throws and costing
his team some wins. The wild card is Kyle
Reed, a quick redshirt frosh out of Oakland
who Rivals.com ranked the No. 5 dual-threat
QB in the 2005 class.
Running
Back
One
of the nation's best RB duos returns for
what could be the strongest ground game
in the Jeff Tedford era. Marshawn Lynch
and Justin Forsett keyed the nation's No.
9 rushing offense despite a lack of help
from the passing game. With pieces of Dunbar's
spread being implemented, we should see
more balance and even more production here.
Lynch is a mid-sized speed demon (4.4 in
the 40) with good power, while the smaller
speedster Forsett brings the change-of-pace.
Both are explosive, as evidenced by averages
of 6.4 (Lynch) and 7.6 (Forsett), though
Lynch needs to do a better job of holding
onto the ball. Their speed and under-utilized
pass-catching ability makes them an excellent
fit as both are a chore to contain in the
open field. Senior Byron Storer, who caught
a 58-yard TD pass two years ago, takes over
at a FB position that accounted for just
19 carries and could see even less use under
Dunbar.
Receiver
This
talented and tested group should make the
transition to full-time starter a little
easier on whichever hurler wins the QB race.
Everyone who caught a pass for this team
is back, with the exception of FB Chris
Manderino. All-world recruit DeSean Jackson,
who stepped right in last fall with seven
TDs and 15.8 yards per catch, is the top
playmaker here. Jackson is a 5-11 deep burner
whose growing maturity will add to the vertical
dimensions of this offense. Robert Jordan,
a junior, is an experienced underneath guy
with sure hands. An X-factor is junior Lavelle
Hawkins, another potential deep threat with
who could be ready to break out. He averaged
22.8 yards per catch at the JUCO level two
years ago, but failed to show much big-play
ability in nine games last fall. This field-stretching
group has had the ability to be special.
Now it has the experience to go with that
talent. The key is simply finding a way
to get these guys the ball.
Tight
End
This
position will be solid with the return of
starter Craig Stevens and backup Eric Beegun,
though not exactly exceptional. Stevens,
a 6-5 junior, is to see a lot of action
under Tedford. He has nice speed (12.7 yards
per catch), but is more dependable as a
blocker. Beegun, a 6-3 senior, has just
begun to show his potential. Both of these
guys are nice, big targets off the line
who should come in handy from time to time
across the middle or in the flat, but their
true value will be in helping to spring
Lynch and Forsett off the edge.
Offensive
Line
The
QB derby will get all the attention, but
what develops here is just as important
as three starters are gone for sure. A fourth,
tackle Andrew Cameron, might not return
for his senior year. There's reason for
hope, though, as the line has remained strong
each season under Tedford, and several of
last year's backups got reps thanks to injuries.
Tedford also brought in four O-linemen in
his latest recruiting class, including JUCO
transfers Mark Gibson and Mike Gray, who
should step in right away with impact. The
left side should be OK with returning starter
Erik Robertson at guard and Scott Smith,
who got eight starts in place of the injured
Cameron, at tackle. The key is replacing
the leadership of all-Pac-10 center Scott
Philip and conference O-lineman of the Year
Ryan O'Callaghan at right tackle. The line
is sure to take a small step back, at least
early on, as new faces like redshirt soph
center Alex Mack settle into their roles,
but the speed of Lynch and Forsett should
help offset some of those early struggles.
OFFENSIVE
BREAKDOWN
With
a potentially explosive running game, this
team needs to find someone who can get the
rock to a proven group of targets, or defenses
will jam the box and pick on a young O-line
in hopes of containing Lynch and Forsett.
Tedford brought in a coordinator who favors
the spread, but he'll remain active enough
in the offense that Dunbar's schemes will
simply be added to his already complex system.
Getting a QB who can grasp the entire thing,
and who can be a leader of an overall youthful
offense, is essential. Cal went 8-4 and
managed to score 33 points a game with the
90th-ranked pass offense in the nation.
A more balanced, variable attack would be
too much to handle for most teams in a conference
with several shaky defenses, and would vault
Cal back into the national picture. The
potential is there. It's just a matter of
finding the best fit at QB and sticking
with him. A rotation could occur, waiting
to see who will actually be superior through
field testing. But moreover, a sure starter
by the first game would bode better.
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TE
Craig Stevens (PHOTO CREDIT - Evan
Kerr)
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CALIFORNIA
2006 DEPTH CHART
Returning Starters/Key
Players |
OFFENSE |
QB |
Nate
Longshore-So (6-5, 230) |
Joe
Ayoob-Sr (6-3, 223)
Steve Levy-Sr (6-1, 229) |
FB |
Byron
Storer-Sr (6-1, 227) |
Will
Ta'ufo'ou-So (6-0, 250) |
TB |
Marshawn
Lynch-Jr (5-11, 223) |
Justin
Forsett-Jr (5-8, 183)
Marcus O'Keith-Sr (6-1, 190) |
WR |
Robert
Jordan-Jr (5-11, 166) |
Noah
Smith-Jr (5-11, 188) |
WR |
DeSean
Jackson-So (6-0, 160) |
Sam
DeSa-Jr (5-11,199) |
WR |
Lavelle
Hawkins-Jr (5-11, 183) |
LaReylle
Cunningham-So (6-2, 195) |
TE |
Craig
Stevens-Jr (6-5, 255) |
Eric
Beegun-Sr (6-3, 251) |
OT |
Scott
Smith-Sr (6-4, 276) |
Mike
Gibson-Jr (6-5, 290) |
OG |
Erik
Robertson-Sr (6-2, 311) |
Bryan
Deemer-Sr (6-4, 311) |
C |
Alex
Mack-So (6-5, 295) |
Mark
Gray-Jr (6-2, 275) |
OG |
Noris
Malele-So (6-4, 298) |
Brian
De La Puente-Jr (6-4, 301) |
OT |
Mike
Tepper-So (6-6, 334) |
Kevin
Bemoll-Fr (6-5, 305) |
K |
Tom
Schneider-Jr (6-0, 194) |
.. |
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2006
DEFENSE |
Defensive
Line
Every
D-lineman on the Las Vegas Bowl two-deep
returns to lead what should be another solid
run defense (third in conference; 24th nationally).
The leader is all-conference DT Brandon
Mebane, a big run-plugger with LB quickness.
The senior is a menacing pass rusher with
all-America potential. Junior DE Philip
Mbakogu is another big, talented guy who
gets plenty of penetration and makes the
big plays. Overall, this group is big, quick,
aggressive and deep. It will wear on opposing
lines, drawing double teams and freeing
up a strong group of backers to make plays,
while putting enough pressure on the QB
to help out a young secondary. And with
diverse names like Mebane, Mbakogu, DE Nu'u
Tafisi, DT Albert Ma'afala and DE Fahim
Mujaahid Abd Allah, they'll leave plenty
of broadcasters tongue-tied as their successes
will demand that each is called out.
Linebacker
Strong-side
backer Ryan Foltz is definitely replaceable
in what should be a deep and experienced
unit. Desmond Bishop (no Tutu jokes, please),
a former JUCO star, returns in the middle
and is the corp’s leader. A 240-pounder
with 4.5 speed, Bishop is a big-hitter with
excellent quickness who should be an all-America
candidate. True soph Anthony Felder is another
big, athletic force on the weak-side. A
four-star recruit out of Seattle with as
much speed, he eventually won the starting
gig last fall and will be more adapted to
the speed of I-A ball. There's plenty of
experienced, capable LBs to plug in on the
strong-side, too, including JUCO transfer
Mickey Pimental (two picks last fall) and
redshirt soph Worrell Williams. Opponents
will again struggle to outrun or pass against
this quick unit, which will be allowed to
roam free by that tough D-line. It will
be how much this group can aid the underneath
coverage(s) that will dictate what impact
this D has overall.
Defensive
Back
A
somewhat shaky pass defense will have to
be better, though their 80th ranking was
buoyed by a much lower efficiency ranking
(24th). That means they keep the play in
front of them well, not often getting burned.
The foundation will be senior corners Daymeion
Hughes and Tim Mixon. Hughes developed into
a playmaker, grabbing a team-high five picks
and breaking up 12 passes. The smaller Mixon,
who is well removed from his 2003 knee surgery,
has regained his pre-injury quickness. Both
safeties need to be replaced, but there's
plenty of capable plug-ins, including speedy
soph Bernard Hicks, lanky junior Thomas
DeCoud and former walk-on Brandon Hampton.
All three have cut their proverbial teeth
in back-up roles and provide hope for improvement
against the pass. With a strong pass rush
and help from a talented LB trio, there's
no excuse not to get better. There's not
enough talent here to expect anything dramatic,
though, especially given some of the potent
passing attacks on the schedule.
DEFENSIVE
BREAKDOWN
While
there's some concern at secondary, this
defense will be one of (if not) the best
in the Pac-10. That's a luxury in a high-scoring
conference that hasn't had an abundance
of daunting defenses the past couple of
years. The front seven boasts that desired
combo of size and quickness and should continue
to contain the run and effectively blitz.
That leads us back to the secondary. Their
rankings don't figure to drop dramatically,
if at all. The key is forcing more turnovers
while continuing to limit the big plays.
The group excelled at the latter, allowing
14 receiving TDs while leading the conference
in pass efficiency defense (110.2) and opposing
first downs (201). That bend-but-don't-break
mentality is the way to go for a decent
but unspectacular group of DBs facing several
spectacular passing games.
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Dt
Brandon Mebane (PHOTO CREDIT - Michael
Pimentel)
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CALIFORNIA
2006 DEPTH CHART
Returning Starters/Key
Players |
DEFENSE |
DE |
Abu
Ma'afala-Sr (6-4, 281) |
Phillip
Mbakogu-Jr (6-3, 265) |
DT |
Matthew
Malele-Jr (6-3, 333) |
Mika
Kane-So (6-3, 303) |
DT |
Brandon
Mebane-Sr (6-3, 306) |
Tyson
Alualu-Fr (6-2, 309) |
DE |
Nu'u
Tafisi-Sr (6-2, 260) |
Fahim
Abd Allah-Sr (6-3, 236) |
OLB |
Anthony
Felder-So (6-3, 229) |
Justin
Moye-Jr (6-1, 228) |
MLB |
Desmond
Bishop-Sr (6-2, 243) |
Greg
Van Hoesen-Jr (6-3, 231) |
OLB |
Worrell
Williams-So (6-0, 257) |
Zack
Follett-So (6-2, 230) |
CB |
Daymeion
Hughes-Sr (6-2, 188) |
Randy
Bundy-Sr (6-0, 159) |
CB |
Tim
Mixon-Sr (5-10, 187) |
Syd'Quan
Thompson-Fr (5-11, 180) |
ROV |
Brandon
Hampton-Jr (5-10, 187) |
Robert
Peele-Fr (5-11, 182) |
FS |
Thomas
DeCoud-Jr (6-3, 200) |
Gary
Doxy-Fr (6-2, 186) |
P |
Andrew
Larson-Jr (6-1, 190) |
.. |
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2006
SPECIAL TEAMS |
Kicker
Junior PK Tom Schneider returns, unfortunately
putting plenty of pressure on the offense to get
it into the end zone. Schneider was 9-for-16 on
FGs, which matched his freshman totals, yet he's
9-for-22 during his career from 30-plus yards.
His weak leg means Larson will handle KOs, as
Lonie did last year. That's OK as Larson shouldered
the same role at the JUCO level and got his average
kick to the 6. That should help sustain a decent
coverage effort that ranked 57th nationally.
Punter
JUCO transfer Andrew Larson takes over and should
make this unit better. Larson has a strong, consistent
leg. The two-time all-conference selection, who
was also sought after by USC, averaged 42.1 yards
his first season, then 42.2 as a soph. He'll have
to work on his hang time, though, as Cal struggled
in coverage (102nd nationally at 12.8 yards per
try brought the net result ranking to a pedestrian
51st). With improvements in defensive depth, field
position battles can now be won.
Return
Game
The explosive Tim Mixon earned some all-Pac-10
recognition on PR duty, where he ran one back
and was third in the conference at 14.9 yards
per try. With his knee surgery well behind him,
he should continue to post big numbers. Speedster
Justin Forsett and Daymeion Hughes are expected
to be the focus on kicks, where the team's quick
skill-position personnel should improve also.
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