|
CB
Wopamo Osaisai (PHOTO CREDIT: David Gonzales/Stanford
Athletics) |
|
|
2006
Statistics |
Coach:
Jim Harbaugh
1st
year |
2006
Record: 1-11 |
|
at
Oregon |
LOST
10-48 |
at
San Jose State |
LOST
34-35 |
NAVY |
LOST
9-37 |
WASHINGTON
STATE |
LOST
10-36 |
at
UCLA |
LOST
0-31 |
at
Notre Dame |
LOST
10-31 |
ARIZONA |
LOST
7-20 |
at
Arizona State |
LOST
3-38 |
SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA |
LOST
0-42 |
at
Washington |
WON
20-3 |
OREGON
STATE |
LOST
7-30 |
at
California |
LOST
17-26 |
|
2006
Final Rankings
AP-UR, Coaches-UR, BCS-UR
|
2007
Outlook |
It
has been some time since things on ‘The
Farm’ have gone well – Buddy
Teevens (2002-04) fought to earn his 10-23
record here, and it just seemed like Walt
Harris (2005-06) gave up last year as his
second year at the helm quickly imploded.
Eleven losses were the most in school history,
and the 377 points allowed is the second
most by any Cardinal squad. We figure it
was pretty ironic that their last/only win
was against the last coach to lead Stanford
to a winning season (beat Willingham’s
Huskies 20-3). Still, that is not the image
(or substance) alums want to present as
the level of play for their premiere sport
at this historically strong sports school.
Enter rising coaching prospect Jim Harbaugh
– his playing exploits are famous,
but his abilities to lead from the sideline
aren’t. Briefly: Harbaugh led San
Diego (I-AA) to the last two mid-major national
titles, he helped recruit/build the 2002
I-AA national champions from Western Kentucky,
and Jim was the QB coach when the Oakland
Raiders went to the Super Bowl in 2003.
In other words, winning has followed wherever
this Palo Alto H.S. product goes. Unfortunately,
he is saddled with a senior QB who has a
career completion rate of 48% and has only
produced four 200+ yard throwing efforts
in three campaigns. And even worse, with
a field general who needs extra time in
the pocket to assure results, Harbaugh also
inherits last year’s worst OL in I-A
(ranked 119th with both 50 sacks allowed
and three rushing TDs). Easy enough will
be to use their worthy RBs to run it mostly
north-and-south to assure production. But
some success has to come via the intermediate
and deep pass, or foes will again stack
the box if they can effectively stop the
pass with basic coverages. We think Ostrander
will be kept on a short leash, so expect
rotating QBs until the right one is found
who can handle the new, aggressive schemes
Harbaugh and up-and-coming coordinator David
Shaw brought here from down south. Defensively,
coordinator Scott Shafer is luckily a DB
specialist, for what was the Cardinal’s
one strength on this side of the ball has
seen the biggest changes. Still, the same
DLmen who finished 111th in sacks (14) and
117th in run stopping have returned, so
judging which section will do better/worse
is, at best, a wait-and-see proposition.
Across the board, most positions/units have
solid starters who should do better under
the new staff’s approach, but how
much better in a tough conference like this
is too hard to predict. Only four games
are away from Stanford Stadium, but each
of those is against a top 50 squad (all
were.500 or over). The slate’s non-cons
may all visit, but Notre Dame, TCU and San
Jose (who beat them in ’06 for the
fourth time in ten years) are no cake-walk.
This will likely be another losing season
in Palo Alto, but it would be a ‘cardinal’
error to think that Harbaugh won’t
have these guys humming again within a few
campaigns.
Projected
2007 record: 3-9 |
|
|
QB
T.C. Ostrander (PHOTO CREDIT: Kyle Terada/Stanford
Athletics) |
STANFORD
*POWER RATINGS |
Offense |
Defense |
QB
- 3 |
DL
- 2.5 |
RB
- 3 |
LB
- 3 |
WR
- 3 |
DB
- 3.5 |
OL
- 1.5 |
.. |
|
RETURNING
LEADERS |
Passing:
T.C. Ostrander, 72-158-5, 918 yds., 3 TD
Rushing: Anthony Kimble, 114 att.,
470 yds., 2 TD
Receiving: Richard Sherman, 34 rec.,
581 yds., 3 TD
Scoring: Aaron Zagory, 8-13 FG, 13-15
PAT, 37 pts.
Punting: Jay Ottovegio, 61 punts,
39.6 avg.
Kicking: Aaron Zagory, 8-13 FG, 13-15
PAT, 37 pts.
Tackles: Clinton Snyder, 83 tot.,
54 solo
Sacks: Clinton Snyder, 2 sacks
Interceptions: Bo McNally, 2 for
49 yds., 1 TD
Kickoff returns: Jason Evans, 16
ret., 21.8 avg., 0 TD
Punt returns: Chris Hobbs, 13 ret.,
5.6 avg., 0 TD
|
|
|
|
|
OFFENSE
- 9
|
----RETURNING
STARTERS----
|
DEFENSE
- 9
|
|
KEY
LOSSES
|
OFFENSE:
Trent Edwards-QB, Josiah Vinson-OG, Jon Cochran-OG,
Ismail Simpson-OG, Jeff Edwards-OT |
DEFENSE:
Michael
Okwo-LB, Brandon Harrison-S, David Lofton-S,
Trevor Hooper-S |
|
|
2007
OFFENSE
|
The
new coordinator is David Shaw, an alum who came
with coach Harbaugh from San Diego. That’s
where they had the nation’s top passing,
scoring and total offense on their way to the
I-AA mid-major national title. Like Harbaugh,
Shaw brings gads of NFL experience, so this is
a well-rounded staff, to say the least. Lots of
work still needs to be done on T.C. Ostrander,
a pro-style hurler who doesn’t complete
even half of his tries (45.6% in ‘06). The
Atherton product had flashes of success as he
started the last five games, but his (lack of
solid) pocket presence was one of the reasons
the Cardinals finished last in I-A for sacks allowed.
He is the starter heading into fall, so getting
the ball to their worthy receivers still could
be a challenge. Tennis-champ Alex Loukas is a
dual-threat RS frosh who would need some time
to adjust if inserted, but he could be better
than Ostrander after that and then take the team
farther. Kellen Kiilsgaard come in this fall as
the No.11 dual-threat prospect and should get
a chance to learn on the fly if the other two
struggle. Michigan-transfer Jason Forcier sits
out 2007 per NCAA rules, so unless a Stanford
QB leads the Cardinals to the Pac Ten title, this
season is likely a one-and-out performance for
whoever winds up taking the most snaps. The backs
have a lot to prove after finishing 115th in rushing,
but Baton Rouge’s Anthony Kimble isn’t
the reason they struggled. Even with the sub-par
performance of the line, this ex-WR has impressed
since he climbed to the top of the RB depth chart
in spring of 2005. Bigger Toby Gerhart also did
the job when asked during those struggling times,
so this unit isn’t as bad off as some may
think, especially with the new offense in place.
Tyrone McGraw had a huge spring game and is the
change of pace needed with so many big backs occupying
space. Speaking of big backs, FB Emeka Nnoli has
both the pedigree and the proven numbers to get
him more carries (only lost one yard on his 19
runs). But all of this backfield talent seems
like it could still fight uphill after the line
still struggled some this spring (seven sacks
allowed in the spring game). Alum and local legend
Chris Dalman is now the OL coach and has improved
some factors, but he hasn’t quite found
this bunch their groove. Still, some signs of
improvements are there. Alex Fletcher is a bright
spot, earning all-conference honors after he had
to move to center – he is back at right
guard. Most important, though, is Allen Smith.
The left tackle responsible for so many of last
year’s 50 sacks, Smith has to prove why
he was so highly touted as a prepster if Stanford
is to have enough time to develop those longer
routes. This line does not lack talent, but getting
them to play well as a unit could take time. The
receivers are the team’s best offensive
unit, and Evan Moore is their biggest target at
6’7. Ironically a former Cardinal roundballer,
Moore is back from a stress fracture in his foot
and looking ready to again win deep “jump
balls”. Richard Sherman led the team in
catches as a true frosh, and though a starter
over the last four games in ’06, he will
be tabbed as a third receiver for now. His “demotion”
is due to the healthy return of veteran Mark Bradford,
giving the Cardnial QBs plenty of top-shelf targets.
The unit runs even deeper, and that doesn’t
include the services of TE Tim Dray, who tied
for second-most receptions on the team. In this
pass-happy conference and with a new coach like
Harbaugh, expect lots of short passes until the
QBs feel comfortable in the new system. But if
short passes don’t eventually lead to longer,
field-stretching ones, it will be another long
year as marginal QB play begets eight, nine and
even ten men crowding the box.
|
|
OT
Allen Smith (PHOTO CREDIT: Kindle Van Linge/Stanford
Athletics)
|
|
|
STANFORD
2007 DEPTH CHART
Returning Starters in bold |
OFFENSE
|
QB |
T.C.
Ostrander-Sr (6-3, 215) |
Alex
Loukas-Fr (6-4, 205) |
FB |
Emeka
Nnoli-Sr (6-1, 235) |
Sam
Weinberger-Fr (6-2, 230) |
RB |
Anthony
Kimble-Jr (6-1, 200) |
Toby
Gerhart-So (6-1, 229) |
WR |
Mark
Bradford-Sr (6-2, 210) |
Stephen
Carr-Fr (6-3, 215)
Kelton Lynn-Jr (6-2, 190) |
WR |
Evan
Moore-Sr (6-7, 235) |
Richard
Sherman-So (6-3, 185) |
TE |
Jim
Dray-So (6-5, 240) |
Ben
Ladner-So (6-3, 250) |
OT |
Allen
Smith-Jr (6-4, 300) |
Bobby
Dockter-Jr (6-5, 290) |
OG |
Mikal
Brewer-Sr (6-3, 300) |
Gustav
Rydstedt-Jr (6-3, 300) |
C |
Tim
Mattran-Sr (6-5, 300) |
Bert
McBride-Fr (6-3, 290) |
OG |
Alex
Fletcher-Jr (6-3, 300) |
Andrew
Phillips-Fr (6-5, 290) |
OT |
Ben
Muth-Jr (6-6, 295) |
Chris
Marinelli-So (6-7, 305) |
K |
Aaron
Zagory-Jr (6-0, 170) |
Derek
Belch-Sr (5-11, 195) |
|
|
2007
DEFENSE
|
When
11 guys return with significant starting experience,
improvements are expected. New coordinator Scott
Shafer has his work cut out, though, since those
same 11 were the major components on a 1-11 team
that ranked last in the Pac Ten in every major
stopping category except ones concerning passing
defense. As a testimonial, Shafer turned Western
Michigan around quickly with his efforts there
– they went from 1-10 to 7-4 and then 8-4,
and they led the nation in sacks (46) and INTs
(24) while finishing 11th for total results in
’06. If it all starts up front, then for
the Cardinal’s third-worst run stopping
efforts (in I-A), the starting front four have
plenty to prove. Allowing foes almost five yards
per carry (4.9) and 26 ground scores won’t
likely be repeated, but these numbers show you
how far they have to come to be competitive in
this BCS-aligned conference. Important is the
move from a 3-4 to an “attack” 4-3
– Udeme Udofia is the OLB who transitions
to DE, and his three career blocked kicks makes
him a 6’4 weapon when his arms are up. 6’6
Pannel Egboh was still slowed last year by a 2005
injury (broken leg), but this spring proved he
is back at full strength. Udeme’s brother,
Ekom, had more tackles from his inside spot than
Udeme had roaming at linebacker, so he seems solid,
too. And the numbers on Chris Horn prove that
he just needs to find more consistency to elevate
his already decent efforts. The DL backups represent
a huge drop off in size and experience, so health
issue up front would be impacting, to say the
least. The LBs are led by Clinton Snyder and Pat
Maynor. Maynor is a bit small for the middle in
the Pac Ten, but backup Will Powers has the girth
on running downs to effectively shoot the gaps.
Snyder was third in tackles and first in forced
fumbles for Stanford. Ex-Decathlete Pete Griffin
has earned his start with the grit and determination
only a former walk-on could display. This corps
has proven itself in coverage more than they have
against the run, but the results from spring dictate
that they have to be better in run support since
the line is still not quite ready. That means
the secondary will have to pick up where it left
off as one of the team’s top-performing
units. Wopamo Osaisai is the all-conference corner
who can shut his side down – he owns the
school 100m record (10.39) and won the 100m and
200m at the Junior Olympics (2004). Sanchez and
Sims are nearly as good, and each will shine as
foes throw away from Osaisai. Bo McNally is the
most experienced safety left (three major departures
here will sting), and, though, ex-WR Austin Yancy
is doing well in his rapid development at free
safety, these two starters will have a trial-by-fire
in this aerial conference. Another former receiver,
Thaddeus Chase could push for reps if Yancy falters.
The D had its moments this spring, but there seems
to still be more problems than solutions. Each
unit has leaders and a few top performers, but
it all has to come together for Shafer right away
with early foes UCLA, Oregon and USC ready to
interrupt development(s).
|
|
LB
Clinton Snyder (PHOTO CREDIT: Kyle Terada/Stanford
Athletics)
|
|
|
STANFORD
2007 DEPTH CHART
Returning Starters in bold |
DEFENSE |
DE |
Udeme
Udofia-Sr (6-4, 240) |
Emmanuel
Awofadeju-Sr (6-4, 240) |
DT |
Ekom
Udofia-So (6-2, 310) |
Derek
Hall-Fr (6-5, 252) |
DT |
Chris
Horn-Sr (6-5, 270) |
Levirt
Griffin-So (6-4, 255) |
DE |
Pannel
Egboh-Jr (6-6, 280) |
Erik
Lorig-So (6-4, 250) |
OLB |
Clinton
Snyder-So (6-4, 230) |
Nick
Macaluso-Fr (6-3, 225) |
MLB |
Pat
Maynor-Jr (6-2, 215) |
Will
Powers-So (6-4, 235) |
OLB |
Peter
Griffin-Sr (6-1, 215) |
Fred
Campbell-So (6-1, 225) |
CB |
Nick
Sanchez-Sr (6-0, 190) |
Tyler
Porras-Fr (6-2, 175) |
CB |
Wopamo
Osaisai-Jr (5-11, 200) |
Tim
Sims-Sr (5-11, 190) |
SS |
Bo
McNally-So (6-0, 205) |
Thaddeus
Chase-Jr (6-0, 200) |
FS |
Austin
Yancy-So (6-4, 195) |
Carlos
McFall-Jr (5-11, 200) |
P |
Jay
Ottovegio-Sr (6-0, 195) |
.. |
|
|
|
2007
SPECIAL TEAMS
|
Net
punting results with Jay Ottovegio and his controlled
efforts have been adequate. Similarly, PK Aaron Zagory
does enough good things to barely keep his specialty
a plus for the new staff. But with neither of these
two providing many big efforts (last year, the team’s
longest punt was 52 yards and the longest field goal
was 37 yards), 2006’s five blocked kicks weigh
heavy in field position battles and/or closer games
(the OL problems are far reaching). Backups Jason Evans
(RB) and Chris Hobbs (WR/CB) are similarly unspectacular,
yet each is solid enough that Stanford isn’t at
a disadvantage with them returning kicks and punts,
respectively.
|
|
|
|
|