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by
Todd
Helmick
August 7, 2009 - Alright,
so these underdog picks probably won't be
competing for a shot in the national championship
game anytime soon - teams that won’t
be getting recognition in most preseason
top 25 polls, either. Obviously, that is
not what we mean by surprise. But they are
each good enough for a major upset or two
in the world of college football parity,
and any could find a poll position at some
point of the season. Time to put opponents
on UPSET ALERT! |
10. LOUISIANA TECH
The WAC strikes again! Let's just
say that if the Bulldogs face an opponent
with a shoddy run defense, look out.
This rushing attack has the potential
to be one of the nation's best statistically
with Daniel Porter in the backfield
and six starters returning to pave
the way up front. Electric return
man Phillip Livas and his 2,105 all-purpose
yards are another reason to keep an
eye on this (listed) receiver. The
defensive line is extremely stout
- big D'Anthony "Boo" Smith
truly anchors the middle. Six players
that were named to the All-WAC team
in 2008 will return from a team that
got eight wins and a bowl victory.
Like most WAC teams, the secondary
is porous. Ground/clock control is
the aspect that can save this team,
and they have a good one. Another
bowl invite and an upset or two could
be in store for Ruston.
LOUISIANA
TECH OPPONENTS ON UPSET ALERT!
Sept.
5 at Auburn
Sept. 12 at Navy
Nov. 6 Boise State
Nov. 14 at Louisiana State |
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Daniel
Porter needs just 1,122 to become
the school's all-time leading
rusher. With six starting blockers
returning he will likely get it.
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9. CLEMSON
What a roller coaster ride for the
Tigers. Just last year at this time
Clemson was sitting in the top 10
in most preseason polls. The expectations
were so great that when they failed
to meet them right away, head coach
Tommy Bowden was doomed. Well, it’s
one year later, and Clemson can be
found in no preseason top 25 polls.
Big name players such as QB Cullen
Harper, RB James Davis and WR Aaron
Kelly have moved on. But the ACC Atlantic
Division is totally up for grabs between
all six teams, and if defense wins
championships, Clemson is in a fine
position. From top to bottom, this
is the best defense in the ACC. No
one from this side of the ACC is going
to make national noise in the upper
half of the polls, so Clemson may
ironically find they can reach what
they desperately tried to last year...the
ACC Championship Game in Tampa.
CLEMSON
OPPONENTS ON UPSET ALERT!
Sept.
10 at Georgia Tech
Sept. 26 TCU
Nov. 7 Florida State |
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Cornerback
Crezdon Butler is just one of
many talents on the Tiger's defensive
side. If defense wins championships,
Clemson can get to Tampa for a
title shot. |
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8. UNLV
Now here is some surprise pickin'!
Before scoffing at such a pick, understand
the Rebels had a shot at a .500 season
and a bowl invitation a year ago only
to fall short. After starting quarterback
Omar Clayton went down with an injury,
they still managed to do well. Clayton
is healthy now after throwing 18 touchdowns
to just four interceptions, and is
going to push Max Hall for top conference
quarterback honors. His receiver package
of Ryan Wolfe and Phillip Payne may
be the best the MWC has to offer.
The front seven on defense is stout.
Tackles Malo Taumua and Martin Tevaseu
lead the front seven on defense, but
it’s linebackers Jason Beauchamp
and Starr Fuimaono who make this the
best front seven the Rebels have employed
since its last bowl trip in 2000.
The offensive line also boasts two
All-MWC candidates in Joe Hawley and
Matt Murphy. They will get home games
with Oregon State, Hawai'i, BYU and
Utah, and are quite capable of beating
any of these teams in Vegas.
UNLV
OPPONENTS ON UPSET ALERT!
Sept.
12 Oregon State
Oct. 10 Brigham Young
Oct. 17 Utah
Oct. 31 at TCU |
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Ryan
Wolfe already holds school career
records for receptions (209),
receiving yards (2,735) and 100-yard
receiving games (10). Joining
him is super soph Phillip Payne
which makes this the best receiving
unit in the MWC. |
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7. MINNESOTA
Heading into August camp, the
word on the college football
street is that the Big Ten is
not the power conference it
used to be. This opens the door
for several schools to make
a viable move in the conference
race, and one of those teams
should be Minnesota. Quarterback
Adam Weber and receiver Eric
Decker ensure the passing game
will be just fine. The offensive
line has all five starters returning.
Four of the six team captains
are on defense, and the Gophers
will be the most experienced
team in the conference. The
new 50,000 seat outdoor TFC
Bank Stadium will open its gates
for the first time and fans
are excited about the direction
of this program under head coach
Tim Brewster. This is a very
experienced ball club capable
of surprising anyone.
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MINNESOTA
OPPONENTS ON UPSET ALERT!
Sept.
19 California
Oct. 17 at Penn State
Oct. 24 at Ohio State |
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The
Gophers will open the
new outdoor TCF Bank Stadium
this fall. |
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Senior
receiver Eric Decker will ensure
the passing game remains healthy.
He is a legitimate All-American
candidate. |
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6. EAST CAROLINA
The Pirates pulled a few well-known
surprises in ‘08 when they opened
with back-to-back upsets over Virginia
Tech and West Virginia. With upwards
of 17 starters coming back, this year’s
version is blessed with most of the
same exact players responsible for
those shockers. The best news in Greenville
this off-season was that quarterback
Patrick Pinkney was granted a sixth
year of eligibility by the NCAA. Revenge
has to be on the minds of the Hokies
and Mountaineers and recent in-state
power North Carolina will also get
a visit from their neighbor. Getting
in the Top 25 with that type of schedule
is a long shot, but their work is
cut out, and last year’s early
successes (started 3-0) took them
to a No. 15 ranking. At the same time,
none of those non-conference games
is going to be easy for the opponent.
EAST
CAROLINA OPPONENTS ON UPSET ALERT!
Sept.
12 at West Virginia
Sept. 19 at North Carolina
Nov. 5 Virginia Tech |
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Getting
quarterback Patrick Pinkney back
for a sixth year of eligibility
was only icing on the cake for
a good team returning 17 starters.
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5. NEVADA
Not many fans can honestly claim to
know that Nevada had the nation's
fifth-ranked total offense last fall.
Back for another season will be WAC
Offensive Player of the Year QB Colin
Kaepernick, the league's top rusher
in Vai Taua, and two All-Conference
tackles - Alonzo Durham and Mike Gallett.
Also in the backfield is 2007 star
Luke Lippincott, whose been granted
another year of eligibility after
an injury set him back last fall.
This upstart Wolf Pack squad also
may possess the country's best defensive
end combo. Dontay Mock is the league’s
top sack producer, and Kevin Basped
is just as good. Nevada is likely
the best contender to threaten Boise
State for the WAC crown, in case you
didn’t know (and that’s
likely a good many of you by the show
of hands). Nevada will open the season
at Notre Dame, and if the Irish sleep
through this one like they did a year
ago versus San Diego State, they can
easily get bitten by the Pack.
NEVADA
OPPONENTS ON UPSET ALERT!
Sept.
5 at Notre Dame
Sept. 25 Missouri
Nov. 27 at Boise State |
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WAC
Offensive Player of the Year QB
Colin Kaepernick helped to make
the Wolf Pack the nation's No.
5 ranked offense in 2008. |
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4. BAYLOR
Just getting the Bears into a bowl
game would be a major surprise, considering
they have not seen action in the post-season
in 15 years. A 4-8 team last year,
Baylor lost three of those games by
a touchdown or less in arguably the
toughest division in college football.
Robert Griffin is one of the youngest
and most versatile quarterbacks in
the country, and is a perfect fit
for coach Art Brile’s worthy
spread attack. The defense has a potent
back seven where a few players - LB
Joe Pawelek and FS Jordan Lake - could
prove worthy of All-American mention.
This is a great combo for this conference.
Understandably, the Bears have no
chance at winning the Big 12 South
Division. They can, however, make
life rough for one of the other spotlight
teams seeking that top spot. Opposing
teams can no longer count Baylor as
a sure win.
BAYLOR
OPPONENTS ON UPSET ALERT!
Sept.
5 at Wake Forest
Sept. 19 Connecticut
Oct. 31 Nebraska
THE ENTIRE BIG 12 SOUTH DIVISION |
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Senior
linebacker Joe Pawelek is just
one of the All-American candidates
on the Baylor defense. Safety
Jordan Lake is just as qualified.
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3. ARKANSAS
This is no longer a “line it
up and run the ball no quarterback
passing” Arkansas team. Head
coach Bobby Petrino is going to keep
making sure of that. In just his second
season, the Hogs may have the best
set of receivers Fayetteville has
seen in over a decade. The tight end
position can also be tossed around
in that same discussion, as All-SEC
honoree D.J. Williams hauled in 61
receptions last fall. Headlined by
Michael Smith, few teams can match
the depth Arkansas has at running
back, and on top of that, the defense
has 11 starters back. After finishing
5-7 and upsetting LSU in the last
game, confidence continues to build.
The word is that Michigan transfer
Ryan Mallett has a big-time arm behind
center. He certainly has both the
right coach and the right system to
excel. With the SEC West Division
definitely somewhat weaker than its
East counterpart, the Razorbacks have
a solid chance to reside near the
upper part of the standings. The brutal
conference road schedule won't favor
them to win the division outright,
but it should well prepare this team
to pull a big upset before season's
end.
ARKANSAS
OPPONENTS ON UPSET ALERT!
Sept.
19 Georgia
Sept. 26 at Alabama
Oct. 17 at Florida
Oct. 24 at Ole Miss
Nov. 28 at Louisiana State |
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All-SEC
running back Michael Smith continues
the ground game tradition. If
the arm on QB Ryan Mallett is
as advertised, Bobby Petrino could
be up for Coach of the Year in
just his second season. |
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2. NOTRE DAME
Oh no, the Irish are overrated again?
Not quite. Smashing Hawai'i in the
Hawai'i Bowl the night before Christmas
to get them over the .500 hump last
season and end their nine game bowl
loss skid is not going to be the lead
story for Notre Dame in 2009. This
year is more about the plight of head
coach Charlie Weis, who is (without
a doubt) on a hot seat in South Bend.
His recruiting classes have been nothing
short of stellar, so the long time
faithful want to know when this talent
will start to pay dividends. The "youth"
excuse can no longer be used. Well,
that time is now. The Irish should
be favored in every game they play
but two; the usually tough schedule
has been severely downgraded. Michigan,
Purdue, Washington, UConn and Stanford
don't scare anyone anymore. Weis goes
back to calling the offense. Under
the direction of promising third-year
quarterback Jimmy Clausen, as well
as with multiple talents at receiver
with Golden Tate and Michael Floyd,
this passing attack is set to take
the Irish to another level. This is
easily an eight- or nine-win football
team on paper, a huge step up during
these hard times in South Bend.
NOTRE
DAME OPPONENTS ON UPSET ALERT!
Sept.
19 Michigan State
Oct. 17 Southern California |
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Like
the rest of the Irish, quarterback
Jimmy Clausen is no longer a wide-eyed
freshman. The schedule sets up
nice and Notre Dame should be
favored in every game but possibly
two. |
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1. SOUTHERN MISS
Jeff Bower spent 18 seasons as the
Southern Miss head coach, shaping
this program into a gritty, never-say-die,
punch-you-in-the-mouth-for-four-quarters-type
of football team that opponents quickly
learned to respect. That has not changed.
But now it’s second-year head
coach Larry Fedora giving the new-look
Golden Eagles an added edge...they
score points in bundles in this wide
open, balanced attack. The Golden
Eagles return a gifted running back
in Damion Fletcher, one that has posted
1,000 yards of rushing in each of
the previous three years, and a determined
competitor in QB Austin Davis, the
hurler that shattered the school's
freshmen passing records last fall.
DeAndre Brown was the nation’s
top freshman receiver (1,117 yards
receiving) and was widely considered
the nation's top high school wide
out prior to his arrival on campus.
Oh yeah, the offensive line returns
four starters. Coach Fedora has had
successful stints calling the offense
for Oklahoma State and Florida, and
he quickly established a Southern
Miss single-season record with 5,636
yards of total offense in his first
year as the head coach here. Per their
usual, the USM defense will be no
slouch either. On a five-game win
streak (from ’08), once the
cylinders all start to hit, this team
this team will be the class of C-USA.
SOUTHERN
MISS OPPONENTS ON UPSET ALERT!
Sept.
19 Virginia
Sept. 26 at Kansas
Oct. 10 at Louisville
Are two of these games really upsets?
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Southern
Miss has some great offensive
talents, but none have altered
the shape of the program like
second year head coach Larry Fedora.
The Eagles now have an offensive
edge to match their true grit.
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