by
Todd Helmick
Site Owner Todd Helmick maintains an Official
Heisman Vote.
2008
Heisman Trophy Candidates
BIG GAME COMPARISON
--- Comparing statistics versus their toughest
opponents ---
NationalChamps.net
will create and utilize another approach to selecting
our Heisman winner, which no other publication
attempts. Each candidate will have his statistics
from the three toughest opponents played in 2008
added and totaled. We'll put them side-by-side.
This
vote is absolutely as close to call as the debate
two weeks ago as to whether Texas or Oklahoma
belonged in the Big 12 Championship Game. For
this Heisman decision, the race is between Colt
McCoy and Sam Bradford. Statistically speaking,
McCoy has a much better completion percentage
(77.6% compared to Bradford’s 68.33%). In
fact he leads all Heisman Candidates in this regards.
He also is the top rusher for his team as well
as amongst this list of candidates. Inherently,
Sam Bradford is not a running QB. What gives Bradford
an edge is his remarkable passing efficiency (ranked
No. 1 nationally this year and last) and his touchdown-to-interception
ratio (48:6). In our final analysis, when comparing
these two players’ statistics when playing
against their toughest opponents, the result gives
Bradford another slight edge based on the fact
he has thrown for more yards and maintained a
whopping 13:2 ratio in touchdowns-to-interceptions.
This breakdown was so brutally close; it seems
a shame that only one guy can get the first place
vote. If the award were based solely on which
player meant more to his team, this vote would
likely go to McCoy. The depth of game-changing
talent surrounding him at Texas may not quite
be on par with that of his Sooner counterpart,
especially when it comes to the level of Texas’s
offensive line play and how Colt’s feet
have made the Longhorns a difficult offense to
defend in crucial situations.
Seeing Tim Tebow get this award
would not be surprising considering that McCoy
and Bradford are likely to split much of the regional
voting. Considering that Tebow won the award last
season, many voters will likely continue to cast
him as their top candidate. His will to win and
team leadership will carry Tim’s case. However,
both McCoy and Bradford have a better won/loss
record over the past two seasons…ergo, these
two Big 12 QBs also drive their teams as much
through their sheer will to win. Tebow's pure
passing numbers are dwarfed by many other QBs.
Could this be because Florida has so much more
in terms of other options? The answer is yes,
to some degree. Tebow is completing less than
65% of his passes, and his rushing numbers fall
just short of those that McCoy put up. The only
reason Tebow would win this award is that too
many voters base their choice on overall (media)
recognition. He got our vote last season, but
falls way short of McCoy and Bradford in other
measurements.
In
a nutshell, Sam Bradford gets our vote by a nose.
He has the best arm of any QB playing in a BCS
bowl game.
THE
FINAL BALLOT - December 8, 2008 |